Extended range forecasts provide outlooks up to 46 days. This lesson examines sources of predictability, seasonal forecast skill and the ECMWF extended range forecasting system.
Ensembles are run to account for uncertainties in initial conditions. This lesson explores the sources of error in NWP, how they are quantified, and how ensembles are evaluated.
There are times when consecutive forecasts can 'jump' significantly. This lesson will discuss the ways in which forecast jumpiness can appear and how it can be mitigated.
