Dear participants,

Welcome to the e-learning section of the predictability and ensemble forecast systems course that will take place at the ECMWF headquarters in Reading on 27 November to 1 December 2023.

This five-day course will tackle the challenge of making predictions from days to seasons ahead. The predictability of the atmosphere in the medium and extended range will be considered, including different aspects of the Earth system which give rise to predictability on longer time scales. Elements of a probabilistic forecast system as well as its calibration and verification will be presented.

The course itself is a combination of lectures, hands-on practicals and group discussion sessions, and suggested elements of pre-course study that will be presented and completed here on this e-learning platform.

Completion of these pre-learning activities are voluntary, but recommended, since they will ensure you have the knowledge to get the most out of the practical parts of the course. Activities include completing several online e-learning modules, contributing to online discussion forums, and creating a poster and accompanying mini presentation if you've submitted an abstract prior.

We encourage you to explore this e-learning platform and make use out of its interactive functions such as the forum, to get to know each other and discuss anything you'd like between participants ahead of meeting each other in November.

We look forward to welcoming you in Reading!

The ECMWF training team